Research

Eight anonymised societies (1,201 society-years, 232 inflection points) were subjected to full nation/year blinding under the JUNO-1.0 formalism. Core formulas — institutional health, bond strength, and cognitive activation — passed at machine precision. On reveal the eight societies were identified as Germany, Norway, Russia, UK, Chile, Poland, Argentina, and Australia. Russia exhibited militarised stagnation: Shield dominant at +99 while productive nodes are negative or near-zero, with 41% of years in local institutional failure. Poland is the only chronic-distress society — every personality node negative, nearly half its years strained, 28% in systemic crisis. Argentina shows fragile equilibrium with no stable consolidation years. Australia is recovering mixed — strong knowledge and exchange, but the weakest governing authority among Western democracies.

The blind test provides conditional evidence that eight societies behave as structurally distinguishable complex adaptive systems. Their measurable phase-space signatures survived nation/year blinding, corresponded to historical political outcomes, and generated emergent cognitive-affective profiles that no single existing partial paradigm reproduces in full.

CAMS does not replace institutional economics, cliodynamics or historical sociology. Rather, it unifies their discriminations as lower-dimensional projections of a coupled node-network topology, in which social functions, stress, memory, capacity, abstraction and connectivity interact as a measurable adaptive system.

PCA across 7,880 node-year observations establishes that four CAMS diagnostic metrics compress to one dominant empirical dimension (PC1 = 72.7% variance, range 47–89%). Node-pair coupling varies 0.41–0.91 across 18 societies, predicting structural resilience vs. cascade failure. Crisis fingerprint matching against 17 historical precedents finds current Western democracies (USA ρ = 0.97; Germany ρ = 0.99; UK ρ = 1.00) in stress states comparable to historical severe crises, with 5–12 year recovery timelines indicated. Twelve falsifiable predictions registered for prospective validation 2026–2028.

Interactive visualisation of CAMS node values, Bond Strength, and crisis signatures across 9 societies from 10 CE to 2026. Drag the timeline, select societies, inspect year-by-year dossiers.

Cross-society diagnostic dashboard for Western and comparator states. Node Value, Bond Strength, and institutional pathway classification for USA, UK, Germany, France, Australia, Canada, and non-Western comparators.

18 canonical CAMS datasets (7,880 node-year observations). Includes ensemble-mean CSVs, inter-scorer variance envelopes, and PCA/coupling results from the June 2026 full-corpus validation. All files public; methodology documented in CAMS-CAN-MASTER-REFERENCE.md.